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Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

Manifold·Finance
52%
vol cum
M14.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
YES 52¢
NO 48¢

The outcome is true if by the end of 2030 a public company achieves the market cap of 1 billion dollars while having only one funder and employee. Or a one-person private company raises enough money that places it at a valuation above 1B, reported in a reputable news source. https://fortune.com/2024/02/04/sam-altman-one-person-unicorn-silicon-valley-founder-myth/ For the purpose of this market and to ensure that the company is not just a scam,with "enough money" we mean over 10$ million. Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Employee is meant in the legal sense. External consultants/contractors are allowed and do not count as employees. Only one actual employee is permitted; additional employees are not allowed. Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A company does not need to go public or raise private capital to resolve True. $1.8 billion in sales would be considered sufficient to value a company above $1B for resolution purposes.

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opened · Feb 6, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
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