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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology
36%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M81.6k
vol 24h
M79
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 36¢
NO 64¢

[markets]

ai
timeline
opened · Apr 9, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030? · prices over time
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