Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2075?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 19:28 UTC on 12 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2075?” at 85%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

85%

vol cum

M6.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2075

[markets]