Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 06:18 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, “Yes” leads “Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?” on Manifold at 57% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]” at 23% (+1pp in 24h) and “No [Anthropic < SpaceX]” at 20%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has M$25 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.