Question 1

What is the current probability for "Which manga series will finish before One Piece does?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Manifold outcomes for "Which manga series will finish before One Piece does?" are Skip Beat! 50%, Grappler Baki 50%, Yotsuba &! 50% — 3 of 14 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Jul 19, 2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/e31tqfvu1q. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Which manga series will finish before One Piece does?

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