Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?

Manifold·World

UkraineRussia

As of 00:48 UTC on 5 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?” at 5%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

5%

vol cum

M10.7k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2026

To be clear, I mean at least partial control, so full control is included.