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Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

Manifold·World
Argentina

As of 20:50 UTC on 31 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?” at 12%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

12%
vol cum
M39.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2028
YES 12¢
NO 88¢

Context The proposal to dolarize Argentina's economy has been brought to the forefront by presidential candidate Javier Milei. He argues that dolarization would end the country's inflation problem and proposes to demolish the Central Bank. However, economists and analysts have raised concerns about the feasibility, potential risks, and benefits of such a move. The political landscape, economic conditions, and social implications make this a complex and contentious issue. Resolution Criteria The prediction market will resolve in favor of "Yes" if Argentina officially adopts the U.S. dollar as its primary currency, replacing the Argentine peso, before the end of the year 2027. Sources BBC News Mundo Article on Milei's Proposal

timeline
opened · Aug 17, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
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