What is the current probability for "2nd largest company end of June 2026?"?

Current Manifold odds for "2nd largest company end of June 2026?": Alphabet (Google) 100%, Other 0%, Apple 0% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/g56EQlNOPz. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Manifold

↗

event8 outcomes

2nd largest company end of June 2026?

·Science and Technology·ends Jul 1, 2026

vol cum

M46.7k

vol 24h

M12.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap at the end of June 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com See also: @sUg2l62NZU @CZp52czdQL @pSA5yhznSg @IR9PCnRs9y @g56EQlNOPz (this market) @5PQQUZ5yzQ @c0dPCIcggy @czQp9L6RS8 @I6u0A6AlS0 @SuInzszsQu @dE9Uys0AlS @s0dORIdE5t @A5ASy8LdlS @ttCZpQ0O5p @ln2cAICQ6d

big-techtechnology-defaultfinancebusinesscompanies

marketselected outcome

Alphabet (Google)

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

▲ 0.1pp

24h change

vol cum

M24.9k

vol 24h

—

spread

n/a

ends

Jul 1, 2026

timeline

opened · Jun 30, 2026closedresolved · Jun 30, 2026

Alphabet (Google) · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history