Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?” at 5%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Austin Chen (@Austin, cofounder of Manifold Markets) has been criminally charged with any felony crime. Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Question is global -- charges in any country count. Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty. As soon as there is an official felony charge, the question resolves "Yes". Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") crimes.
