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[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 02:18 UTC on 10 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?” at 63% (+10pp in 24h). The market has M$2k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
63%
▲ 10.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M74.4k
vol 24h
M2k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 63¢
NO 37¢
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41130) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution. Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if the value of the S&P 500 index is greater than 7,500 at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
timeline
opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026