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Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

Manifold·Politics
Palestine
31%
vol cum
M4.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2029
YES 31¢
NO 69¢

The last election was in 2005. Future elections have been "postponed indefinitely" by current president Mahmoud Abbas. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Palestinian_presidential_election Must be recognized internationally as a valid and fair election for the leadership of the State of Palestine (particularly by the UN and leaders of western nations). Doesn't necessarily need to be called a "presidential election". Disqualifying some potential candidates (Like Hamas) is ok. I will not be betting on this market. This market will be resolved according to the spirit of the question if there is ambiguity.

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opened · Apr 21, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2029
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