Next Millenium Prize Problem Solved?
As of 14:32 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “Hodge Conjecture” leads “Next Millenium Prize Problem Solved?” on Manifold at 39%, followed by “Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture” at 25% and “Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap” at 18%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
Resolves to the next problem considered to be solved by the consensus of the mathematical community. The actual prize isn’t strictly necessary for resolution, but it should be the formulation of the problem eligible for the prize. If OpenAI’s claimed proof of Navier-Stokes is found to be flawed, that is ignored for the purposes of this market (i.e., it resolves to the next of these 5 listed problems to be considered solved, even if NS is “solved” in the future).
