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Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology
United States
73%
vol cum
M23.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 73¢
NO 27¢

This market's resolution piggybacks on Jeff Atwood and John Carmack's bet documented on the Coding Horror blog: https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/ However they resolve their bet is how this market resolves.

timeline
opened · Apr 4, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030? · prices over time
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