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Internment Camps in Trump’s America?

Manifold·Politics
United States

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Internment Camps in Trump’s America?” at 72%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

72%
vol cum
M15.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 16, 2029
YES 72¢
NO 28¢

Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president? Market will Resolve YES if there is capacity for the detention of 30,000 people in 3 or fewer actively used concentration camps / detention centers (so a 25k person facility + a 5k person one would qualify, as would 3x 10k people facilities). Resolves NO when Trump is no longer president (following his 2025 inauguration), or N/A if he doesn’t have a second term. For reference: During the US’s WWII Japanese internment, 120,000 people were interned in 10 camps. The current three largest active detention centers in the US have a capacity of ~6,600, so this would be a nearly 5x growth in capacity for the mass detention of people.

timeline
opened · Nov 8, 2024opencloses · Jan 16, 2029
Internment Camps in Trump’s America? · prices over time
−24h
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no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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