event10 outcomes

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Mar 1, 2027

As of 17:34 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “400-500k” leads “How many people will Trump deport in 2026?” on Polymarket at 61%, followed by “500-600k” at 12% and “300-400k” at 10%, out of 10 outcomes. The event has $100 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Gemini, Limitless and Manifold.

vol cum

$131k

vol 24h

$100

outcomes

ends

Mar 1, 2027

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PoliticsImmigrationTrumpGeopolitics

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400-500k

rank #1

United States

61¢

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$9.7k

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0.11

ends

Mar 1, 2027

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

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opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Mar 1, 2027

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