Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?” at 6%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold.

6%

vol cum

M30.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This will resolve based on a holistic assessment, but the following factors could contribute to a YES resolution: Increase in absolute number of H1B visas granted No decrease in O-1 visas, or an increase Increase in absolute number of EB-1, EB-2, and EB-3 visas Other pathways for high skill individuals to get visas, like work authorization