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Will JD Vance ever be president?

Manifold·Mentions

United States

As of 22:40 UTC on 17 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will JD Vance ever be president?” at 38%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

38%

vol cum

M10.2k

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2035

YES 38¢

NO 62¢

Resolves "no" if he dies, and "yes" if he is sworn in.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2035

Will JD Vance ever be president? · prices over time

−24h

now

no price history yet

volume · 24h windows

no volume history

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suggested by pdata

manifold

When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?

He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.)60¢· 0.0ppHe will become president during the 2025-2029 term.16¢· 0.0ppHe will be elected president in the 2028 election.15¢· 0.0pp

+1 others

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kalshi

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

Before Oct 1, 202775¢· 0.0ppBefore Apr 1, 202755¢· 0.0ppBefore Feb 1, 202718¢· 0.0pp

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Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

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manifold

Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?

yes5¢

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kalshi

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?

yes52¢· 0.0pp

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polymarket

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

yes6¢· 0.0pp

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