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Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?

Manifold·World
RussiaUkraine
80%
vol cum
M22.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2027
YES 80¢
NO 20¢

Some possible triggers for NO: He resigns or otherwise loses the presidency before the war ends He dies before the war ends He is ousted from the presidency as a condition of the war ending (even if he is given a small transition period of less than a year) Russia ceases to exist as a nation He changes position or title to something other than "President" Doesn't trigger a resolution: The war extends beyond Ukraine and is no longer considered the Ukraine-Russia war Ukraine ceases to exist as a nation, is annexed, or is renamed Russia is renamed Otherwise, YES when the war ends. As per questions in the comments: for practical reasons, a formal armistice that is adhered to would qualify as the end of the war. The close date on this market may be extended as needed.

timeline
opened · Jul 17, 2023opencloses · Jan 2, 2027
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends? · prices over time
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