Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?” at 84%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
Some possible triggers for NO: He resigns or otherwise loses the presidency before the war ends He dies before the war ends He is ousted from the presidency as a condition of the war ending (even if he is given a small transition period of less than a year) Russia ceases to exist as a nation He changes position or title to something other than "President" Doesn't trigger a resolution: The war extends beyond Ukraine and is no longer considered the Ukraine-Russia war Ukraine ceases to exist as a nation, is annexed, or is renamed Russia is renamed Otherwise, YES when the war ends. As per questions in the comments: for practical reasons, a formal armistice that is adhered to would qualify as the end of the war. The close date on this market may be extended as needed.