Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?
As of 12:51 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?” at 68%. The market has M$15 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Trump be impeached during his term?” on Kalshi, priced at 74%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.
This question resolves YES if the US House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump between his inauguration on 20 Jan 2025 and the end of his term of office on January 20, 2029. This question resolves NO if impeachment by the House has not occurred and it is 21 Jan 2025, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation) and therefore cannot be impeached. Note that this question resolves YES to the House of Representatives voting for impeachment alone, and does not require Senate conviction or removal from office. See also: [markets]
