Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 13:19 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?” at 65%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will President Trump be impeached during his term?” on Kalshi, priced at 67%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.

65%

vol cum

M140.5k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 21, 2029

Question resolves based on him being officially impeached by the House (as he was twice during his first term); conviction by the Senate does not affect this question one way or the other. Resolves N/A in the (now quite unlikely) event that he does not win.