Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
As of 04:30 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?” at 79%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will President Trump be impeached during his term?” on Kalshi, priced at 65%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Predict.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
