Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?” at 6%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?” on Kalshi, priced at 19%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.
This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency. For that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict Donald Trump by 2/3rds majority. A vote to convict immediately removes the President. This question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2029, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation).
