pdatanews282
event20 outcomes

In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2031

As of 04:50 UTC on 6 Aug 2026, “Other” leads “In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?” on Manifold at 25%, followed by “Never” at 10% and “2040” at 7%, out of 20 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M15.2k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
20
ends
Jan 1, 2031
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 20

Resolves YES when an AI is chosen as person of the year. Close date updated to 2030-12-31 11:59 pm

aiculture-defaulttime-person-of-the-yearai-person-of-the-year
marketselected outcome
Other
rank #1
25¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M101
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
timeline
opened · Jun 19, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
Other · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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