At least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
As of 06:18 UTC on 1 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “At least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?” at 5%. The market has M$9.4k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
Will resolve YES for something like the amount of proof we have for Navier-Stokes (e.g. a Lean formalization), I might wait a week or two but I will lean towards accepting proposed solutions rather than waiting forever for extensive verification, unless the solutions are very controversial Two are solved already, so this market is really asking if 3 more will be solved before December 31 Resolves YES if a solution was generated on December 31 but isn't announced until January, I may wait to resolve NO for a week or two in January for that reason. If the day the solution was generated isn't mentioned in an announcement I'll treat it as if it was generated the announcement day