The first female US president will be Republican
As of 04:26 UTC on 5 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “The first female US president will be Republican” at 46%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Limitless and Gemini.
Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee. Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic. Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly. [image]
