Will JD Vance "betray" Donald Trump?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will JD Vance "betray" Donald Trump?” at 31%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

31%

vol cum

M22.1k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 29, 2029

After Mike Pence refused to participate in Donald Trump's plan to overturn the official results of the 2020 election, Trump became furious at Pence and considered him a traitor. JD Vance was reportedly selected on the basis of loyalty to Trump, despite having harshly criticized him in the past. Resolves YES if Trump denounces Vance as disloyal by the end of 2029, and NO otherwise. (The resolution condition is solely based on Trump's own stated opinions.)