Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 00:26 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?” at 15%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Gemini, Kalshi and Limitless.

15%

vol cum

M43.5k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Nov 15, 2028

Resolves YES if Trump resigns/dies/etc. so that JD Vance officially takes over the presidential office before the 2028 election. (It is not sufficient for Vance to be acting president) Otherwise resolves NO. I won't bet on this market.