Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
As of 18:45 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?” at 6%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Gemini, Predict and Polymarket.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.