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Will Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol?
52%
▼ 0.3pp
24h change
vol cum
M14.1k
vol 24h
M20.2k
spread
n/a
ends
Aug 5, 2026
YES 52¢
NO 48¢
There will be a stream for Opus 5 Jul 30 at 3pm eastern from Epoch, similar to previous ones for Sol, as per Epoch AI (@EpochAIResearch) on X at https://t.co/kusf1SFlAA Resolves YES if, as per my judgment, once the experiments are both done, I believe Opus 5 has outperformed Sol. Resolves NO if I think Sol outperforms Opus. Resolves to 50% if I think that it is a true tie / fully ambiguous who is better. Update 2026-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not err on the side of an ambiguous (50%) resolution. They intend to make a definitive YES or NO judgment even if the outcome is close, rather than resolving to 50%.
timeline
opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Aug 5, 2026