Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

Manifold·Science and Technology

United States

As of 22:31 UTC on 22 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?” at 68%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics (all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)