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Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 09:50 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?” at 91%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

91%
vol cum
M323.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2039
YES 91¢
NO 9¢
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems 1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman. There are 6 remaining. There are 17ish years left before this market closes. Apr 4, 1:51am: Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems by solved by 2040? → Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
timeline
opened · Apr 3, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2039