What is the current probability for "Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 2026"?

"YES" is currently 87% (+1pp in the last 24h) on Manifold, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/slU22OlsCP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

p|datav0.1 news294

opentrade on Manifold

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marketsingle market

Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 2026

·Science and Technology

87%

▲ 1.2pp

24h change

vol cum

M8.7k

vol 24h

M17.2k

spread

n/a

ends

Sep 6, 2026

YES 87¢

NO 13¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

openaiai-model-releasesaitechnical-ai-timelinestechnology-default

timeline

opened · Sep 3, 2026opencloses · Sep 6, 2026

Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · 24h windows

no volume history