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Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?

Manifold·Politics
United States

As of 00:16 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?” at 62% (-1pp in 24h). The market has M$2.8k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Gemini, Kalshi, Predict and Myriad.

62%
▼ 1.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M15k
vol 24h
M2.8k
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 3, 2026
YES 62¢
NO 38¢

The next election for Florida governor is in 2026. The current governor, Ron DeSantis, is term-limited and will not be able to run again, unless the Florida constitution is amended. Will the election be won by a Republican?

timeline
opened · Nov 2, 2026closing sooncloses · Nov 3, 2026
Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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