Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 02:31 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?” at 61% (+6pp in 24h). The market has M$105 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

61%

▲ 5.9pp

24h change

vol cum

M37.1k

vol 24h

M105

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

Will result in YES: If tesla ever reaches market cap of 2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030. Currently: Market cap is at 758 000 000 000$ Witch is 37.9% of 2T [image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.