What is the current probability for "Did Claude just solve navier stokes??"?

"YES" is currently 30% (+2pp in the last 24h) on Manifold, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/yAA259LCdu. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

p|datav0.1 news283

opentrade on Manifold

↗

marketsingle market

Did Claude just solve navier stokes??

30%

▲ 1.8pp

24h change

vol cum

M41.8k

vol 24h

M47k

spread

n/a

ends

Oct 5, 2026

YES 30¢

NO 70¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline

opened · Sep 5, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

Did Claude just solve navier stokes?? · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · 24h windows

no volume history