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Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?

Manifold·Business
46%
vol cum
M7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 46¢
NO 54¢

This market predicts whether Elon Musk or any member of Twitter's C-level management will publicly claim that Twitter has become profitable before December 31, 2026. Claims can be made through any official channel, including but not limited to press releases, interviews, social media posts, or public statements. The profitability claim must be clear and unambiguous, specifying that Twitter is operating at a profit. Announcements solely based on future projections or speculative statements will not count. This market resolves to 'Yes' if such a claim is made before the specified date, and 'No' otherwise Update 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Positive EBITDA alone is not enough to satisfy the claim requirement. This update clarifies that: The claim must explicitly state that Twitter is operating at a profit Merely citing financial metrics (e.g., positive EBITDA) without a clear statement of operating profit will not count Update 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Profitability Claim: The claim must explicitly state that Twitter is operating at a profit. Ambiguous phrases like “barely breaking even” do not meet the requirement. The statement should confirm that Twitter’s revenue exceeds all costs, resulting in a positive net profit.

timeline
opened · Jun 17, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
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