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event23 outcomes

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Oct 16, 2026
vol cum
$1.3k
vol 24h
$1.3k
outcomes
23
ends
Oct 16, 2026
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showing 5 of 23
AITechClaudeSonnetAnthropicAI Releases
marketselected outcome
On or prior to September 24
rank #1
18¢
8.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$103
vol 24h
$103
spread
0.33
ends
Sep 25, 2026

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Sep 24, 2026closing sooncloses · Sep 25, 2026
On or prior to September 24 · prices over time
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