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event2 outcomes
Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

vol cum
$554
vol 24h
$370
outcomes
2
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
ChinaTrumpTaiwanPoliticsGeopolitics
marketselected outcome
June 30
rank #1
TaiwanUnited States
34¢
▼ 14.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$482
vol 24h
$298
spread
0.18
ends
Jul 1, 2027
If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
timeline
opened · Sep 30, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027
June 30 · prices over time
−24h
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volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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