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event4 outcomes

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 22:05 UTC on 31 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Lai Ching-te departure announced?” on Kalshi are “Before January 1, 2028” at 24% (-3pp in 24h), “Before July 1, 2027” at 15% and “Before January 1, 2027” at 1%. The event has $6 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Opinion and Polymarket.

vol cum

$18.6k

vol 24h

$6

outcomes

4

ends

Jan 1, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before January 1, 2028

rank #1

Taiwan

24¢

▼ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.5k

vol 24h

$6

spread

0.06

ends

Jan 1, 2028

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jan 7, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

Before January 1, 2028 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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