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Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket·Politics
Taiwan

As of 18:02 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?” at 6%. The market has $15 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?” on Opinion, priced at 5%. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Opinion, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold.

6%
▲ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$107.5k
vol 24h
$15
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 6¢
No 94¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PoliticsTaiwanChinaGeopolitics
timeline
opened · Jan 7, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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