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How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Oct 12, 2026
vol cum
$729
vol 24h
$729
outcomes
5
ends
Oct 12, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
OilIranYemenHormuztankerHouthisshippingRecurring
marketselected outcome
190-209
rank #1
73¢
▲ 47.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$217
vol 24h
$217
spread
0.27
ends
Oct 12, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.

timeline
opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 12, 2026
190-209 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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