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event2 outcomes

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Apr 1, 2027

As of 17:09 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?” on Polymarket are “March 31” at 71% (+1pp in 24h) and “January 31” at 44%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket.

vol cum
$779
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Apr 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
AITechmistralAI Releases
marketselected outcome
March 31
rank #1
71¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$739
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.29
ends
Apr 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mistral AI's next Mistral Large model (4.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Mistral" and "Large" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Mistral Large 3 or Mistral Large 4 would qualify, including a skipped decimal or a new whole-number generation such as Mistral Large 5. A new Mistral Large model released after Mistral Large 4 that Mistral designates only by a dated build, in the manner of mistral-large-2411, without a version number, will also qualify. Models which retain a version designation of 4.0 or below, such as Mistral Large 4 (released in public preview on October 6, 2026), including its planned open-weights release, general-availability promotion, or any other rollout or snapshot of it, and models whose name does not include "Large," such as Mistral Medium 3.5, Mistral Small 4, or Ministral, Magistral, Codestral, Devstral, Pixtral, or Voxtral models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Mistral AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Mistral AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Oct 7, 2026opencloses · Apr 1, 2027
March 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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