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event3 outcomes

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 03:26 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 67% (+24pp in 24h), “November 30” at 65% (+28pp in 24h) and “October 31” at 48% (+37pp in 24h). The event has $365 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion and Manifold.

vol cum
$7.6k
vol 24h
$365
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
TechhackoutageBig TechBusinessIndustryPoliticsRecurring
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
67¢
▲ 23.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$4.4k
vol 24h
$65
spread
0.47
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Oct 8, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
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no volume history

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