Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 1, 2026
As of 12:20 UTC on 25 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?” on Polymarket are “November 30” at 77% (+4pp in 24h) and “October 31” at 34% (-6pp in 24h). The event has $165 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$165
outcomes
2
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
AIMathTechRecurringFrontierMathAI Benchmarks
marketselected outcome
November 30
rank #1
77¢
▲ 3.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$105
spread
0.06
ends
Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
