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Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

Polymarket·World
France

As of 19:14 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?” at 5% (+1pp in 24h). The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Gemini.

5%
▲ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.7k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Apr 19, 2027
Yes 5¢
No 95¢

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in France on April 18, 2027, with a second round on May 2, 2027. A second round will be held if no candidate secures a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French government, specifically the Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) (https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/).

WorldFrancePoliticsElectionsFrench ElectionWorld ElectionsFrench ElectionsGlobal Elections
timeline
opened · Oct 15, 2026opencloses · Apr 19, 2027
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
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