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event9 outcomes

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 13:27 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, “Pete Hegseth” leads “Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?” on Polymarket at 34% (+9pp in 24h), followed by “Nobody” at 34% (+8pp in 24h) and “Donald Trump” at 23% (-2pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has $1.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Predict, Polymarket, Manifold, Limitless, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$1.1k
outcomes
9
ends
Jan 1, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
TrumpRFK JrHegsethPoliticsimpeachmentPete Hegsethus house of representatives
marketselected outcome
Pete Hegseth
rank #1
United States
34¢
▲ 9.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$154
vol 24h
$154
spread
0.18
ends
Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order. In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United States House of Representatives by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Oct 16, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
Pete Hegseth · prices over time
−24h
now
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