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event2 outcomes

Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jul 1, 2027

As of 06:32 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?” on Polymarket are “June 30, 2027” at 31% (-19pp in 24h) and “December 31, 2026” at 20% (-21pp in 24h). The event has $2.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.

vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
2
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
ORCLTechOracleEconomyFinanceBig TechBusiness
marketselected outcome
June 30, 2027
rank #1
31¢
▼ 19.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.3k
vol 24h
$2.3k
spread
0.07
ends
Jul 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation, or its rating on Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt, to below investment grade ("junk") by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating or Moody's Ratings' long-term issuer rating on Oracle Corporation. "Below investment grade" means BB+ or lower on the S&P Global Ratings scale, or Ba1 or lower on the Moody's Ratings scale. A downgrade of Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt to below investment grade by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation remains investment grade. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Oct 19, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027
June 30, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
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