Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 1, 2026
As of 21:17 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “October 27” leads “Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?” on Polymarket at 24% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “On or prior to October 23” at 23% (-5pp in 24h) and “October 24” at 20% (-5pp in 24h), out of 40 outcomes. The event has $5k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
vol cum
$4.8k
vol 24h
$5k
outcomes
40
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 40
AIgptTechOpenAIGPT TerraAI ReleasesGPT Releases
marketselected outcome
October 27
rank #1
24¢
▼ 1.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$66
vol 24h
$91
spread
0.33
ends
Oct 28, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
