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Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 02:06 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 92% (+19pp in 24h), “November 30” at 58% (+13pp in 24h) and “November 15” at 13% (-15pp in 24h). The event has $9k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Opinion.

vol cum
$9k
vol 24h
$9k
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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TrumpAliensCulturePolitics
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
92¢
▲ 19.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.8k
vol 24h
$3.8k
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

timeline
opened · Oct 26, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
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