What is the current probability for "Will Nansen launch a token by ___?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?": December 31, 2027 26%, December 31, 2026 7%, September 30, 2026 0% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/127082. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event5 outcomes

Will Nansen launch a token by ___?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2028

vol cum

$330.6k

vol 24h

$22.3k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

token launchCryptoPre-MarketNansen

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2027

rank #1

26¢

vol cum

$74.9k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

timeline

opened · May 21, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

December 31, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history